Certor

Pisa – Bologna

Serie A · March 2, 2026

Pisa 0–1 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Pisa 19% X · 29% 2 · Bologna 52%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals0.73 – 1.38
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 28, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.