Certor

Pisa – Fiorentina

Serie A · September 28, 2025

Pisa 0–0 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Pisa 25% X · 30% 2 · Fiorentina 45%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.94 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.