Certor

Pisa – Parma

Serie A · December 8, 2025

Pisa 0–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Pisa 29% X · 34% 2 · Parma 37%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals0.87 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 6, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.