Certor

Pisa – Roma

Serie A · August 30, 2025

Pisa 0–1 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Pisa 18% X · 29% 2 · Roma 53%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals0.70 – 1.40
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.