Certor

Pisa – Sassuolo

Serie A · January 31, 2026

Pisa 1–3 Sassuolo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Pisa 25% X · 28% 2 · Sassuolo 47%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.99 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 31, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.