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Portimonense – Arouca

Primeira Liga · February 3, 2024

Portimonense 1–2 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Portimonense 35% X · 28% 2 · Arouca 37%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.10 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 28, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.