Certor

Porto – Alverca

Primeira Liga · August 9, 2026

Porto 2–0 Alverca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 81% X · 13% 2 · Alverca 6%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score36%
Expected goals2.51 – 0.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.