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Porto – Arouca

Primeira Liga · September 29, 2024

Porto 4–0 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 79% X · 14% 2 · Arouca 7%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals2.41 – 0.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 27, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.