Porto – Arouca
Primeira Liga · February 27, 2026
Porto
3–1
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Porto 81%
X · 13%
2 · Arouca 6%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Expected goals | 2.60 – 0.57 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 22, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.