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Porto – Benfica

Primeira Liga · April 6, 2025

Porto 1–4 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 44% X · 25% 2 · Benfica 31%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.