Porto – Benfica
Primeira Liga · September 20, 2026
Porto
3–1
Benfica
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Porto 42%
X · 26%
2 · Benfica 32%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.12 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 20, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.