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Porto – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · August 24, 2025

Porto 4–0 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 76% X · 16% 2 · Casa Pia 8%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals2.24 – 0.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.