Porto – Estrela
Primeira Liga · December 15, 2025
Porto
3–1
Estrela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Porto 83%
X · 12%
2 · Estrela 5%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 33% |
| Expected goals | 2.54 – 0.44 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 13, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.