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Porto – Farense

Primeira Liga · September 15, 2024

Porto 2–1 Farense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 83% X · 11% 2 · Farense 6%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals2.73 – 0.56
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.