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Porto – Moreirense

Primeira Liga · January 20, 2024

Porto 5–0 Moreirense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 78% X · 15% 2 · Moreirense 7%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score37%
Expected goals2.34 – 0.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.