Porto – Rio Ave
Primeira Liga · February 22, 2026
Porto
1–0
Rio Ave
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Porto 80%
X · 14%
2 · Rio Ave 6%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Expected goals | 2.44 – 0.53 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 22, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.