Certor

Porto – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · May 16, 2026

Porto 1–0 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 76% X · 17% 2 · Santa Clara 7%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score34%
Expected goals2.12 – 0.49
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.