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Porto – Tondela

Primeira Liga · April 19, 2026

Porto 2–0 Tondela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Porto 86% X · 10% 2 · Tondela 4%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score35%
Expected goals2.84 – 0.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.