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PSV Eindhoven – Ajax

Eredivisie · September 21, 2025

PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · PSV Eindhoven 61% X · 19% 2 · Ajax 20%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals2.48 – 1.40
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.