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PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · March 7, 2026

PSV Eindhoven 2–1 AZ Alkmaar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · PSV Eindhoven 70% X · 16% 2 · AZ Alkmaar 14%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals2.72 – 1.17
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.