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PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior

Eredivisie · January 13, 2024

PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · PSV Eindhoven 91% X · 7% 2 · Excelsior 2%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals4.00 – 0.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 12, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.