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PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior

Eredivisie · January 10, 2026

PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · PSV Eindhoven 90% X · 7% 2 · Excelsior 3%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals3.94 – 0.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.