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PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda

Eredivisie · January 24, 2026

PSV Eindhoven 2–2 NAC Breda

final score

What we said before the match

1 · PSV Eindhoven 87% X · 9% 2 · NAC Breda 4%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals3.37 – 0.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.