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PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · September 13, 2026

PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · PSV Eindhoven 81% X · 12% 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 7%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals3.22 – 0.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.