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RB Leipzig – Dortmund

Bundesliga · February 21, 2026

RB Leipzig 2–2 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · RB Leipzig 43% X · 25% 2 · Dortmund 32%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score66%
Expected goals1.76 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.