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RB Leipzig – Holstein Kiel

Bundesliga · April 19, 2025

RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel

final score

What we said before the match

1 · RB Leipzig 80% X · 13% 2 · Holstein Kiel 7%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals3.11 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.