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RB Leipzig – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · April 11, 2026

RB Leipzig 1–0 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · RB Leipzig 65% X · 20% 2 · M'gladbach 15%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.40 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.