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RB Leipzig – St Pauli

Bundesliga · May 9, 2026

RB Leipzig 2–1 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · RB Leipzig 70% X · 21% 2 · St Pauli 9%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals2.04 – 0.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.