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RB Leipzig – Union Berlin

Bundesliga · April 24, 2026

RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin

final score

What we said before the match

1 · RB Leipzig 63% X · 23% 2 · Union Berlin 14%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.98 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.