Real Madrid – Alaves
La Liga · April 21, 2026
Real Madrid
2–1
Alaves
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Real Madrid 78%
X · 14%
2 · Alaves 8%
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 2.55 – 0.67 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 21, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.