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Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao

La Liga · March 31, 2024

Real Madrid 2–0 Ath Bilbao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 64% X · 22% 2 · Ath Bilbao 14%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.99 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.