Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao
La Liga · May 23, 2026
Real Madrid
4–2
Ath Bilbao
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Real Madrid 68%
X · 19%
2 · Ath Bilbao 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Expected goals | 2.20 – 0.84 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.