Certor

Real Madrid – Barcelona

La Liga · October 26, 2024

Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 51% X · 23% 2 · Barcelona 26%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.96 – 1.36
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 25, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.