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Real Madrid – Celta

La Liga · May 4, 2025

Real Madrid 3–2 Celta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 72% X · 17% 2 · Celta 11%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.47 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.