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Real Madrid – Elche

La Liga · March 14, 2026

Real Madrid 4–1 Elche

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 85% X · 10% 2 · Elche 5%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals3.14 – 0.68
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.