Certor

Real Madrid – Girona

La Liga · February 23, 2025

Real Madrid 2–0 Girona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 74% X · 15% 2 · Girona 11%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals2.73 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.