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Real Madrid – Girona

La Liga · April 10, 2026

Real Madrid 1–1 Girona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 79% X · 13% 2 · Girona 8%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.94 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.