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Real Madrid – Leganes

La Liga · March 29, 2025

Real Madrid 3–2 Leganes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 83% X · 12% 2 · Leganes 5%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals2.80 – 0.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.