Real Madrid – Malaga
La Liga · August 30, 2026
Real Madrid
4–0
Malaga
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Real Madrid 85%
X · 11%
2 · Malaga 4%
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Expected goals | 2.80 – 0.50 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 30, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.