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Real Madrid – Mallorca

La Liga · August 30, 2025

Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 80% X · 14% 2 · Mallorca 6%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals2.58 – 0.59
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.