Certor

Real Madrid – Sevilla

La Liga · December 20, 2025

Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 77% X · 14% 2 · Sevilla 9%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.72 – 0.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.