Certor

Real Madrid – Sevilla

La Liga · October 18, 2026

Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 76% X · 15% 2 · Sevilla 9%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.62 – 0.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.