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Real Madrid – Sociedad

La Liga · September 17, 2023

Real Madrid 2–1 Sociedad

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 65% X · 20% 2 · Sociedad 15%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.09 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.