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Real Madrid – Valencia

La Liga · April 5, 2025

Real Madrid 1–2 Valencia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 78% X · 14% 2 · Valencia 8%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals2.58 – 0.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.