Real Madrid – Villarreal
La Liga · December 17, 2023
Real Madrid
4–1
Villarreal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Real Madrid 71%
X · 17%
2 · Villarreal 12%
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Expected goals | 2.55 – 0.97 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 15, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.