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Real Madrid – Villarreal

La Liga · October 5, 2024

Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Real Madrid 77% X · 14% 2 · Villarreal 9%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals2.95 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.