Real Madrid – Villarreal
La Liga · October 4, 2025
Real Madrid
3–1
Villarreal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Real Madrid 71%
X · 16%
2 · Villarreal 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Expected goals | 2.67 – 1.11 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 3, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.