Certor

Reims – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · April 20, 2025

Reims 1–0 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Reims 33% X · 30% 2 · Toulouse 37%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.