Certor

Rennes – Metz

Ligue 1 · August 13, 2023

Rennes 5–1 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rennes 68% X · 21% 2 · Metz 11%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.97 – 0.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.