Certor

Rio Ave – Benfica

Primeira Liga · March 16, 2025

Rio Ave 2–3 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Rio Ave 14% X · 19% 2 · Benfica 67%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.76 – 2.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 16, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.